The
following draws from evidence in Irin, 01/10/15, given by officials who work with former Boko Haram members:
-Kasali
Yusuf, coordinator of the joint ONSA/prison service team in Kuje in Nigeria.
-Dr
Wahaab Akorede, psychologist and prison officer in Nigeria.
-Ferdinand Ikwang, head of the national de-rad programme (under the Office of
the National Security Adviser) in Nigeria.
Origins: exclusion and
violence
Private
level:
No
evidence of deep religiosity.
Dysfunctional
families.
Public
level:
No
education.
No
opportunity: lack of jobs.
No
health service.
Boko Haram offers:
Money
(through links with jihadists in Algeria and Mali)
Inclusion
into a group.
Quotes:
“here’s
a man that is not happy within himself. He has not been given an opportunity to
be educated. He has no future. If you give him 10,000 naira [$50], he will
carry that bomb.”
“polygamous
families where wives compete for their husband’s affection to the detriment of
the children; an Islam, as traditionally taught in the north, that leaves young
men ill-prepared for the modern workplace; and the callousness of successive
governments that has consigned so many to suffering and an early death, “to the
point where God must be tired of seeing Nigerians.”
Solution:
Counselling.
Monitoring.
Jobs
in government programmes.
Living
together.
Inclusion
in the wider community.
Quote:
“If
you’re returning say 400 ex-combatants to the community, you have to engage the
community. If it’s 400 [ex-Boko Haram] in, then you need to find places for 400
local youths in government programmes, otherwise the host community will scream
and say they are going to kill them.”
Source: Wikicommons, Heinrich Boell Stiftung. https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:General_Buhari_holding_a_broom_at_a_campign_rally.jpg
Nigerians have chosen General Muhammadu Buhari, a former military
ruler, over incumbent Goodluck Jonathan, to be their president.
Following an election that saw 41 people killed in the north of the country, Goodluck conceded defeat, and congratulated Buhari on his victory.
Buhari’s military regime from 1983 to 1985 was draconian:
he systematically repressed freedom of expression through the jailing
of journalists, radical public intellectuals, and student protesters. He is now saying that “the global triumph of democracy has shown that another and a preferable path to change is possible”.Nigerians and the international community will be watching whether
this time around Buhari will work for the common good in Nigeria.
Corruption and crisis
The general political and economic situation in Nigeria is
problematic. Nigeria is home to a corrupt government. According to
Transparency International, Nigeria is ranked 136 out of 175 states in
terms of perceptions of corruption.
Women are underrepresented in political affairs: until now, the House
of Representatives had only one female principal officer, and only 7% of the 362 members were women. The House of Representatives committee on women
has called for more participation from women in the nation’s politics.
We will now see if the new government responds to this demand.
The economy is in crisis: Nigeria has an unhealthy dependence on its
oil exports, which represent more than 80% of its national income. There
has now been a drop in oil prices, which means that public sector jobs will have to be cut; 24% of Nigerians are unemployed. Nigeria must double its investment
in infrastructure, and improve its power sector, the water and
sanitation sector, its road networks, and its air transport safety.
Nigeria has to be serious about health. The World Health Organisation
recommends that governments spend 15% of their budget on health, but
Nigeria spends only 6% of its budget. Nigeria had 40,000 pregnancy-related deaths a year account for approximately 14 percent of the world’s total in 2012.
Northern exposure
The situation in northern Nigeria is critical. Since 2014, more than 6,000 civilians have been killed by Boko Haram. Around one million Nigerians have been forcibly displaced
within the country, and 200,000 have fled to Cameroon, Niger or Chad.
Colonel Joseph Nouma of the Maroua Defence Regiment in the Nigerian army
told the IRIN news service:
When you go to border villages, all you see are women and
children and old people. Young [men], between the ages of ten and 45
are no longer there. They are across the [Nigerian] border with Boko
Haram militants.
In the north, regional actors have been more active than the Nigerian
government in fighting Boko Haram. With the approval of the African
Union, Nigeria and its neighbours – Chad, Niger, Cameroon and Benin –
have deployed a 8,700-strong Multi-National Joint Task Force (MNJTF) to
fight around 4,000-6,000 Boko Haram Islamist militants.
Presidents from the Economic Community of Central African States
(ECOWAS) pledged in early 2015 to create a US$87m emergency fund for
military, medical, and logistical support for the MNJTF. Nigeria’s
current president expects Boko Haram to be defeated within a month. However, even with the presence of regional allies, Boko Haram is likely to go into hiding and conduct a guerrilla campaign.
Past policy vacuum
The way the government has addressed violence in the north has been
abysmal: very few measures have been taken. Muslim clerics identified
lack of good governance as the primary reason Boko Haram succeeded in
recruiting members. According to a US official, “they warned that similar crises would occur if the government failed to address social problems”.
In terms of social measures, when Boko Haram started fighting in
2009, a “societal reorientation programme” was created in the north.
However, according to one US official,
this programme only made it possible for Boko Haram to “recruit more
members”, as it had no impact on the population’s well-being.
In 2015, President Jonathan’s national security adviser, Sambo Dasuki, only mentioned the creation of a single social policy
– in Kuje prison in the capital Abuja which aims at deradicalising
former insurgents. The new government will have to develop social
policies to reduce inequalities in order to prevent further violence.
What the new government has to do
The economic involvement of the Nigerian government is inadequate.
Only half of the investment projects in the north were completed in
2014. In 2015, the government created a US$133m emergency fund for the
north in order to finance 94 different projects such as road
construction, railways, energy and agriculture, but the precise use of
this fund remains to be seen.
The new president will have to address three long-standing and
critical issues in the north: economic development, education and
health. Economic development is needed to counter Boko Haram, which is paying men around US$700-a-month to join its ranks.
The economy
The new government must tackle the difficult issue of unemployment
which, among all age groups, is at least 75%. Many young people,
especially recent graduates, say it is impossible to find decent work.
For the few who do have a job, the minimum wage is US$70 a month. The
new government will also have to address the lack of economic resources
and food in the north.
The new Nigerian government will have to prioritise education. When
Boko Haram started attacking civilians in 2009, it was known to oppose “western education models”. However, young men fighting for Boko Haram could not have had much knowledge of education.
In 2011 in northern Nigeria, half of the men had no education at all,
only 7% completed primary education, and only 6% completed secondary
education. Education in the north should therefore be a priority for
whoever has power next. This is important not only for men, but it is
also essential for women: in 2011, 65% of women had no education, 6%
completed primary education, and 3% completed secondary education.
Health
The new president will be held accountable for improving health in the north, as clinics are under-staffed, and women are ten timesmore likely to die in childbirth than in the south.
With these conditions Boko Haram filled a vacuum. The militants will
now be much harder to remove but ultimately, the next government can
take steps to start tackling the problems that allowed them to gain a
foothold.